Baseball: What are the Chances?
Monday, August 7th, 2006Because of the number of games played and the breadth of statistics kept, baseball seems to lend itself to statistical analysis more readily than most sports. The New York Times on Sunday published a rather sobering analysis of the playoff chances of each major league team (sobering, that is, if you're rooting for the Astros). Can my home team really be that colse to elimination?
This kind of statistical analysis has been around for a long time. As a kid, I use to play a Strat-o-Matic-style baseball games (both card-based and computer-based) with my brother Charlie - which is kind of odd, because I really wasn't much of a baseball fan until my 20s (winning a trip to the 1989 World Series seems to have been a turning point in my interest in the sport). While the statistics make those games a bit more 'real,' it's nice to know that the real games will still be played. Hopefully, the Astros will prove Twain (or was it Disraeli?) right, and the September Astros games for which I already have tickets will be meaningful games.

